Bitcoin Price Drops Below $54K Amid Jobs Report and Fed Rate Cut Speculation

Bitcoin (BTC) saw significant volatility on Friday, briefly surging to $57,000 before plunging below $54,000 following the release of the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report.

This sharp price swing led to over $50 million in liquidations across crypto derivatives markets, primarily targeting leveraged long positions.

By the end of the day, Bitcoin was down nearly 3%, hitting its lowest price since early August. Major altcoins, including Ether (ETH), Solana (SOL), and XRP, also posted losses of 2%-4%.

U.S. Jobs Data and Fed Rate Cut Anticipation

 The U.S. added 142,000 jobs in August, slightly below analysts’ expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.2%.

This data has further fueled speculation about the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision at its September 18 meeting. Currently, market participants see a 70% chance of a 25 basis-point cut and a 30% probability of a larger 50 bps cut.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller supported lowering interest rates, stating, “The time has come to lower rates,” and indicated he would advocate for “front-loading cuts” if necessary.

However, some analysts argue that a smaller cut might be more favourable for risk assets like Bitcoin, as a larger cut could signal deeper concerns about the economy.

Technical Analysis: Bitcoin’s Key Levels to Watch 

Bitcoin is currently testing crucial support levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 35, suggesting Bitcoin is in oversold territory and may see a bullish bounce.

However, resistance lies at $55,250, and if Bitcoin fails to break above this level, selling pressure may resume. A drop below $53,350 could push the price down to the next support at $51,720.

  • RSI: Rebounding from 35, indicating possible upside potential.
  • Resistance: $55,250 is the immediate level to watch.
  • Support: Key support sits at $53,350, with further downside possible to $51,720.

Conclusion: Will Bitcoin Break Through or Fall Further?

Bitcoin’s price remains in a tight range, with critical levels to watch at $55,250 on the upside and $53,350 on the downside.

Traders should monitor these resistance and support zones as the market continues to react to macroeconomic data and Federal Reserve decisions.

A break above resistance could signal a potential recovery, while a dip below support may lead to further losses.

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Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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