Forex Signals Brief July 4: Quiet Markets for US Independence Day

Yesterday it started off in the Asian and European session, however the retail sales report from Australia showed a nice jump for May, which kept the Aussie in demand all day. However, the bullish break in this pair came during the US session, after the data from the US was released, which sent the USD tumbling lower.

Happy 4th if July to all our US followers

Continue reading “Forex Signals Brief July 4: Quiet Markets for US Independence Day”

Oil Prices Down Again Today, Despite Huge EIA Inventory Draw

Oil prices were quite bullish in June but this month has started on the wrong foot, and the drawdown in EIA inventories couldn’t stop the decline. WTI climbed more than $10 during last month, reaching above $84 but it has reversed lower this week, falling below 0.83, however, the trend still remains bullish, with moving averages keeping the price supported.

EIA inventories showed a huge drawdown for the week

Continue reading “Oil Prices Down Again Today, Despite Huge EIA Inventory Draw”

Forex Signals July 3: Will US Jobs Report Show More Weakness?

Yesterday started with the CPI inflation report from the Eurozone, which showed that headline inflation ticked lower to 2.5%, approaching the 2% ECB target, however, core CPI remained stubbornly sticky at 2.9%. But that didn’t help the Euro or change the ECB stance as Christine Lagarde later confirmed.

Unemployment claims expected to remain little changed

Continue reading “Forex Signals July 3: Will US Jobs Report Show More Weakness?”

S&P 500 Closes Near Record High As Stocks Turn Higher

Stocks are looking optimistic this week, with the S&P 500 making some decent gains today and getting closer to last week’s record highs. On Friday we saw a steep reversal, however judging by the price action this week and the lack of follow-through, the dive was most likely due to month-end and Q2 cash flows. Continue reading “S&P 500 Closes Near Record High As Stocks Turn Higher”

Gold Continues Range Bound Price Action After JOLTS Jobs

Gold price continues to remain rangebound, as the USD remains uncertain, with XAU bouncing between two moving averages, which are acting as support and resistance, offering good trading opportunities. During the Asian and European sessions today, gold (XAU/USD) attracted new sellers, pushing it closer to the critical 100-day Simple Moving Average (green), which has been providing support.

Gold XAU remains without direction

Continue reading “Gold Continues Range Bound Price Action After JOLTS Jobs”

Forex Signals Brief July 2: EZ CPI Inflation Expected to Fall Again

The week started with the Manufacturing and Services PMI data from China which was released over the weekend and showed a slowdown. However, the Caixin manufacturing released early yesterday showed a slight improvement, which balanced the situation.

Eurozone CPI for June is expected to tick lower

Continue reading “Forex Signals Brief July 2: EZ CPI Inflation Expected to Fall Again”

Oil Price Highest in 2 Months, Despite Weakening Global Economy

WTI Oil price is up by around $1.50 today, despite weak economic numbers from all over the world today, reaching a 2-month high. After the dip in the Chinese services PMI over the weekend, I thought that risk assets such as crude Oil would feel some pressure, but Oil up today, after consolidating above the 200 daily SMA last week. Continue reading “Oil Price Highest in 2 Months, Despite Weakening Global Economy”

Forex Signals Brief July 1: Manufacturing and Services Data Today

Last week all the attention was on the PCE inflation report from the US, which left most assets trading in a tight range, while today we have several manufacturing and services report, which will show the shape of these sectors amid a high interest rate environment.

Manufacturing showing weakness globally

Continue reading “Forex Signals Brief July 1: Manufacturing and Services Data Today”

Forex Signals Brief June 28: All Attention Is on the PCE Prices!

Yesterday during the US session, there was a simultaneous release of several US economic data points, creating a challenging environment to decipher. The dollar initially declined by 20 pips amidst mixed news, with attention drawn to higher continuing claims and lower core durable goods orders, but then turned higher after the higher GDP and the prices index.

Will US PCE show an increase or decline in prices today?

Continue reading “Forex Signals Brief June 28: All Attention Is on the PCE Prices!”

Selling the Bounce in EURUSD After Stronger US Q1 Final GDP

EUR/USD has been consolidating within a range of 1.06 to 1.10 throughout 2024, with both buyers and sellers attempting to create momentum to break out of these levels. The weekly chart highlights moving averages that define this range and today we decided to open a sell forex signal here, after the small jump earlier today.

US Q1 final GDP ticked higher to 1.4%

Continue reading “Selling the Bounce in EURUSD After Stronger US Q1 Final GDP”