Wall Street Rises as S&P 500 Hits New Record High

Intel surges 16.06%, while Meta’s 20-session winning streak comes to an end.

Wall Street’s three major indexes started the week with gains after an extended holiday weekend. Investors reacted to better-than-expected U.S. manufacturing data, pushing the S&P 500 to a new all-time high.

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average, composed of 30 blue-chip stocks, edged up 0.02% to 44,556.34 points. The S&P 500, tracking 500 large companies, gained 0.24% to 6,129.58 points, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite rose 0.07% to 20,041.26.

Market Drivers

Earlier in the day, the Empire State Manufacturing Index, released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, climbed to 5.7 points, significantly beating analysts’ expectations of -1.0, according to a Reuters poll.

Big Movers

  • Intel (+16.06%) soared after a weekend report suggested that Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) and Broadcom were exploring deals that could potentially split the chipmaker into two separate entities.
  • Meta Platforms (-2.76%), Facebook’s parent company, fell, snapping a 20-session winning streak.
  • Within the Dow Jones index, UnitedHealth (-4.35%) led the decliners.

Fed Minutes in Focus

Investors are now awaiting the Federal Reserve’s January meeting minutes, set to be released on Wednesday. During that meeting, policymakers decided to hold interest rates steady, citing concerns over inflationary pressures and uncertainty surrounding Donald Trump’s trade policies.

Oil Market

In the commodities market, crude prices gained momentum on Tuesday after Ukraine attacked a pumping station in southern Russia and as doubts grew over OPEC+ plans to reintroduce barrels into the market.

Brent crude for April delivery rose 0.82% to $75.84 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for March delivery climbed 1.57% to $71.85 per barrel.

Mexican Peso Gains for Sixth Consecutive Session After U.S. Manufacturing Data

The local currency continues its upward trend as trade concerns subside. Since Monday, February 10, the peso has gained 32.47 cents, or 1.60%.

On Tuesday, the Mexican peso appreciated against the U.S. dollar, marking its sixth consecutive session of gains. The local currency strengthened as the market reacted to better-than-expected U.S. manufacturing data.

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The exchange rate closed at 20.2732 pesos per dollar, compared to 20.3006 in the previous session, according to official data from Banco de México (Banxico). This represented a gain of 2.74 cents or 0.14%.

Throughout the session, the dollar traded in a range between 20.3361 at its highest and 20.2085 at its lowest. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)—which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies—rose 0.32% to 107.07 points.

The peso’s rally coincides with easing trade tensions, as speculation grows that U.S. tariffs may be delayed. Since closing at 20.5979 on Monday, February 10, the peso has recovered 32.47 cents, or 1.60%.

Mexican Peso Market Outlook

Earlier in the day, the Empire State Manufacturing Index, released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, rose to 5.7 points, exceeding analysts’ expectations of -1.0, according to a Reuters poll.

Traders are also closely monitoring statements from U.S. President Donald Trump regarding trade policy, negotiations to end the war in Ukraine, and talks with Russia in Saudi Arabia.

Additionally, market participants remain watchful of Trump’s tariff plans, which could increase risk aversion and put upward pressure on the exchange rate.

GameStop: From Meme Stock to Crypto Stock

GameStop, the Wall Street company that became famous in 2021 for its meteoric rise fueled by Reddit traders, is now looking to attract the most enthusiastic cryptocurrency investors.

Few companies have experienced a 1,600% surge in just 12 sessions or a 74% drop in four days. Yet, GameStop went through both extremes between January and February 2021, during the height of the so-called “meme stock” frenzy—a movement driven by Reddit traders as a rebellion against short-selling firms.

Four years later, the video game retailer is trading 70% below its early 2021 peak. In an effort to revitalize its stock price, GameStop has devised a new strategy—one that also aims to appeal to a different type of investor.

GameStop Crypto Strategy with Bitcoin

GameStop now plans to invest in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, hoping to ride the wave of the stock market rally led by MicroStrategy. The software company has become one of Wall Street’s biggest success stories in recent years by amassing the largest corporate Bitcoin holdings. Over the past 12 months, MicroStrategy’s stock has surged nearly 400%.

GameStop itself has used MicroStrategy as an investor lure. Speculation about GameStop’s Bitcoin investment plans intensified after CEO Ryan Cohen posted a photo on social media platform X alongside Michael Saylor, founder and chairman of MicroStrategy, the company with the largest corporate Bitcoin holdings.

Accumulating Bitcoin hasn’t just paid off for MicroStrategy. Japanese firm Metaplanet has soared more than 3,000% in a year as it expanded both its Bitcoin reserves and the valuation of its holdings.

Bitcoin Dips Further as Ethereum Falls Below $2,700

The cryptocurrency market remains trapped in uncertainty, with Bitcoin struggling to maintain its bullish structure and Ethereum attracting institutional interest.

Bitcoin (BTC) Slips Amid Profit-Taking and Regulatory Concerns

The market has yet to establish a clear trend. Bitcoin (BTC) continues its pullback, trading around $94,637 according to Binance, while Ethereum (ETH) drops 4%, falling below $2,700 to $2,630.

[[BTC/USD-graph]]

Altcoins are showing even weaker performance. Assets like XRP, Binance Coin (BNB), Dogecoin (DOGE), Cardano (ADA), and Chainlink (LINK) have declined between 2% and 5% over the past 24 hours. Notably, Solana (SOL) stands out with a correction exceeding 8%. Despite these losses, some assets are attempting to stabilize in the early hours of the session.

Cryptocurrencies remain in a consolidation phase without a clear direction. In Bitcoin’s case, its trading range has narrowed between $95,000 and $98,000, failing to break decisively beyond either level. Meanwhile, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index suggests that investors are adopting a cautious stance, as macroeconomic conditions continue to weigh on market sentiment.

Macroeconomic Factors and Their Market Impact

Recent economic decisions in the United States have fueled uncertainty in financial markets. Stricter trade policies, combined with higher-than-expected inflation data, reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a more conservative stance on interest rate cuts.

On the international front, ongoing peace negotiations in Ukraine—led by the U.S. and Russia but excluding the European Union and Kyiv—have also drawn market attention.

Mexican Peso Starts the Week Steady Against the Dollar

After a low-activity session due to a U.S. market holiday, the local currency posted a marginal appreciation against the dollar.

The Mexican peso ended Monday’s session nearly unchanged. With reduced market activity in the absence of U.S. trading, the peso recorded a slight gain against the dollar.

The exchange rate closed at 20.3006 per dollar, compared to 20.3040 on Friday, according to official data from the Bank of Mexico (Banxico). This represented a 0.02% appreciation, equivalent to less than a cent.

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The dollar fluctuated between a high of 20.4291 and a low of 20.2650 during the session. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, edged up 0.01% to 106.72 points.

Fed Speeches and Market Sentiment

Investors focused on remarks from several Federal Reserve officials at various public events. Policymakers remained skeptical about the likelihood of interest rate cuts in the near term.

Fed Governor Michelle Bowman stated that further conviction is needed that inflation will continue to decline before considering rate cuts. Meanwhile, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker noted that, for now, he sees no reason to adjust rates.

Despite the peso’s appreciation, risks to the exchange rate remain, particularly due to concerns that the U.S. could impose broad tariffs on Mexico and Canada starting March 4.

Key Economic Indicators to Watch

This week, markets will be closely watching key economic reports from both Mexico and the U.S., including minutes from the latest monetary policy meetings of the Fed and Banxico, which could influence the peso’s trajectory.

Traders will also keep an eye on political developments in the U.S., particularly related to former President Donald Trump, as these could impact market sentiment. The exchange rate is expected to fluctuate between 20.00 and 20.60 per dollar in the coming days.

Bitcoin Pares Losses and Nears the $96,000 Mark

Despite ongoing volatility and macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges, Bitcoin continues to show growth potential, driven by institutional consolidation and regulatory changes.

Bitcoin (BTC) Slips Below $96,000 Amid Profit-Taking and Regulatory Concerns

Cryptocurrencies begin the week with uncertainty mirroring last week’s close. Bitcoin (BTC) remains in decline, hovering just above the $96,000 threshold, according to Binance, while Ethereum (ETH) holds firm above $2,700 after rising 2.9% in the past 24 hours.

[[BTC/USD-graph]]

Among altcoins, performance is mixed. Solana (SOL) and Ripple (XRP) have dropped 4.6% and 3.2%, respectively, while Cardano (ADA), Chainlink (LINK), and Avalanche (AVAX)—alongside Ethereum—are among the few gainers, rising 4.5% and 2%, respectively.

Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has struggled to break past the $100,000 mark throughout February and remains stuck between $90,000 and $96,000. The enthusiasm of previous weeks appears to have faded, reflected in Bitcoin spot ETFs, which saw outflows of nearly $600 million last week.

CryptoMarket Outlook

This trend signals a decline in institutional investor confidence. If it persists, price corrections could deepen, especially given Bitcoin’s weak correlation with gold and higher sensitivity to traditional stock indices, making it more vulnerable to volatility in an uncertain economic climate.

Recent U.S. macroeconomic data has added to the uncertainty. In January, inflation exceeded expectations both in headline and core terms, while producer prices also rose above forecasts. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks suggesting no urgency to cut interest rates have further influenced market sentiment. As a result, investors now anticipate only one potential rate cut for the entire year.

Argentina: $LIBRA Scandal Triggers Stock Drops of Up to 7%

Without Wall Street as a reference—closed for Presidents’ Day in the U.S.—Argentina’s leading index fell 4.2%.

The S&P Merval index tumbled as much as 7.3%, while dollar-denominated bonds fell up to 3.1% on Monday, February 17, as the market reacted to the controversy surrounding the $LIBRA cryptocurrency, which President Javier Milei promoted last Friday.

With Wall Street closed for Presidents’ Day, Argentina’s leading BYMA index dropped 4.2% to 2,286,163.76 points. Measured in dollars, it plummeted 4.8% to 1,896 points.

Among the biggest losers in the leading panel were Comercial del Plata (-7.3%), Loma Negra (-7%), and Grupo Supervielle (-5.5%). No stocks in the index registered gains.

Market operators had already braced for a negative session over the weekend, as the political scandal involving Milei’s endorsement of an obscure cryptocurrency intensified. The situation could escalate further with a formal request for impeachment proceedings.
Dollar-Denominated Bonds

In the local market, dollar bonds fell up to 3.1%, led by Bonar 2041, followed by Bonar 2030 and Global 2035, both down 3%, while Bonar 2038 dropped 2.6%.

With no trading in Wall Street on Monday, Argentina’s country risk closed Friday at 675 points. While the local market remains operational, no settlements will take place for Dólar Cable (CCL) transactions.

Context of the Scandal

The controversy erupted after President Javier Milei promoted a cryptocurrency supposedly aimed at financing projects in Argentina. However, just hours later—following a sharp drop in its value after an initial surge driven by Milei’s post—the president clarified on X that he was “not fully informed about the details of the project” and that “after learning more, I decided to stop promoting it.”

As a result, Milei deleted his original post and denied any involvement with the project he had initially endorsed. He did confirm, however, that the project itself was “real.” Amid the backlash, the Office of the President released a statement acknowledging that Milei had met with the company behind the cryptocurrency in October.

However, they clarified that Hayden Mark Davis, who was said to provide the project’s technological infrastructure, “never had and does not have any ties to the Argentine government.”

Amid the $LIBRA Scandal, Trump Shares a Quote from Milei

U.S. President Donald Trump publicly backed Javier Milei amid the $LIBRA scandal with a post on Truth Social.

He shared an image of the Argentine leader alongside one of Milei’s frequently used phrases: “If printing money ended poverty, printing diplomas would end stupidity.”

The controversy surrounding the $LIBRA cryptocurrency erupted last Friday around 7 p.m., when the libertarian leader announced on social media: “Liberal Argentina is growing! This private project aims to boost Argentina’s economy by funding small businesses and startups. The world wants to invest in Argentina.”

However, the alleged digital mega-scam quickly sparked widespread backlash, drawing the attention of U.S. authorities. The Department of Justice and the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) received a criminal complaint against those behind the fraud, which reportedly generated between $80 million and $100 million in illicit gains.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) was also alerted to suspicious transactions recorded since Friday night. Against this backdrop, Trump’s post marked his first explicit and public response to the scandal rocking the Milei administration.

What Is the $LIBRA Scandal?

Last Friday, President Javier Milei promoted a cryptocurrency called $LIBRA on his X account as part of the “Viva la Libertad Project.” The initiative was marketed as a crypto investment project aimed at funding small businesses.

Shortly after the announcement, $LIBRA’s value skyrocketed—only to crash dramatically soon after. Following the collapse, Milei deleted his post and later stated that he had withdrawn his support for the project after further investigation and analysis.

Wall Street Closes Mixed as Nvidia Leads Gains

Wall Street’s major indexes closed mixed on Friday, with a surge in Nvidia lifting the Nasdaq, while the Dow and S&P 500 edged lower. Despite the uneven session, all three benchmarks ended the week with gains.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which tracks 30 blue-chip stocks, fell 0.37% to 44,546.08 points. The S&P 500 dipped slightly by 0.01% to 6,114.63, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 0.41%, supported by strong performances in the sector.

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Investor sentiment improved after President Donald Trump signed a memorandum ordering the calculation of reciprocal trade tariffs, a process expected to take weeks, easing immediate concerns over potential trade disruptions.

Tech Stocks Shine, Nvidia and Airbnb Lead Gains

Among major tech companies, Nvidia (+2.63%) and Apple (+1.27%) stood out, while Airbnb surged 14.45% after posting better-than-expected earnings. By sector, technology and communication services led gains, while consumer staples posted the largest losses.

Within the Dow Jones, Nvidia and Goldman Sachs (+1.79%) were among the top performers, while Procter & Gamble (-4.75%) led the declines.

Weekly Performance

All three indexes closed the week in positive territory. The Dow Jones rose 0.55%, the S&P 500 advanced 1.47%, and the Nasdaq outperformed with a 2.58% gain.

Notable Market Moves

  • Airbnb (ABNB) jumped after surpassing analyst earnings expectations.
  • GameStop (GME) rallied on speculation about its potential move into Bitcoin.
  • Moderna (MRNA) fell after reporting a larger-than-expected earnings loss, adding to the vaccine maker’s recent struggles.

The market remains focused on earnings season and the evolving trade policy landscape, with investors closely watching developments in tariffs and economic data for further direction.

Mexican Peso Strengthens as U.S. Dollar Weakens, Gains 1.17% for the Week

The Mexican peso appreciated against the U.S. dollar on Friday, benefiting from a weaker greenback amid speculation that the proposed U.S. reciprocal tariffs may be more of a negotiation strategy than an imminent policy shift.

The exchange rate closed at 20.3040 pesos per dollar, compared to 20.4780 pesos on Thursday, according to official data from the Bank of Mexico (Banxico). This represents a gain of 17.40 centavos, or 0.85%. The dollar fluctuated within a range of 20.4380 at its highest and 20.2630 at its lowest. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the dollar against a basket of six major currencies, fell 0.27% to 106.77 points.

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Tariff Concerns Ease

On Thursday, U.S. President Donald Trump instructed his economic team to calculate reciprocal tariffs to match those imposed by other countries and counter non-tariff trade barriers. These studies could take several weeks to complete, reducing immediate market fears.

The peso maintained its weekly upward trend, supported by a declining dollar and reduced concerns over potential tariff hikes. Market sentiment suggests that Trump’s trade measures are more of a political maneuver than an immediate economic threat, leading investors to reassess their expectations.

Weekly Performance

The peso saw a strong recovery over the week. Having started at 20.5450 pesos per dollar last Friday, it gained 24.10 cents, or 1.17%.

At the same time, the weakening U.S. dollar reflected broader market sentiment that Trump’s tariff strategy could allow the Federal Reserve to continue focusing on reducing inflation, potentially paving the way for interest rate cuts this year. The Dollar Index dropped 1.23% over the week.

With information spreading rapidly, traders are increasingly focusing on strategic planning around high-impact scheduled events rather than reacting impulsively to Trump’s policy moves.