XRP Price Warning: 50% Crash or Summer Comeback?

Peter Brandt warns XRP market cap could drop 50% by 2025. Learn what’s next as XRP consolidates near $2.08 and eyes a breakout in July.

XRP/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

Quick overview

  • Peter Brandt predicts that XRP's market cap could be halved by the end of 2025, dropping from $121.6 billion to $60 billion.
  • Despite XRP currently trading at $2.08, Brandt notes a decline in trading volume and interest, suggesting a bearish outlook.
  • Contrarily, some believe July could be a breakout month for XRP, citing historical seasonality trends in altcoin performance.
  • XRP's technical analysis shows it is consolidating, with potential bullish and bearish scenarios depending on price movements.

Peter Brandt isn’t sugarcoating it—he thinks XRP’s market cap could get cut in half by the end of 2025. In a recent post on X, Brandt shared his no-nonsense outlook for crypto, calling for muted to bearish performance for both Bitcoin and XRP, while being bullish on gold.

XRP/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
XRP/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

His take? Unless sentiment changes, XRP will stagnate near current levels and then drop as low as $1, cutting its valuation from $121.6 billion to $60 billion.

At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.08, up 1% for the day, but the environment isn’t exactly hot. Volume has dropped 29% to $1.7 billion, a sign that interest is waning.

“XRP’s rally looks tired,” Brandt said in his post, citing lack of follow-through and declining interest on retail and institutional desks.

July Could Be XRP’s Month

Not everyone agrees with Brandt. Some think July could be the breakout month for altcoins—XRP included.

Why? Seasonality.

July has been the start of the altcoin recovery in the past few market cycles. History doesn’t always repeat, but it rhymes. If XRP follows the script, we could see a big move higher in the summer—contrary to Brandt’s bearish view.

And Galaxy Digital and other institutional whales are quietly accumulating select altcoins, so smart money might see value beyond Bitcoin.

XRP/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
XRP/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

XRP Technical Analysis Say: “Coiling for a Break”

From a charting perspective, XRP is consolidating between $2.05 and $2.23, right below a descending trendline. The 50-period EMA at $2.078 is the pivot zone and price is coiling up for the next move.

The MACD is flat and signal lines are hugging the zero line—classic low-volatility behavior that precedes a big move in either direction.

Trade Setup:

  • Bullish Scenario: Break above $2.23 with volume → Targets at $2.35 and $2.48
  • Bearish Scenario: Break below $2.05 and short → Next supports at $1.93 and $1.84
  • Stop-Loss Zones: Longs below $2.00, Shorts above $2.10

Conclusion: Caution Meets Opportunity

One of the most well-known chartists is calling for a 50% drop and others think July will be the breakout month. XRP is at a crossroads. The technicals are neutral—but getting tighter. Whoever breaks first will set the trend for the next few months.

For now, it’s all about patience. Whether you’re Team Brandt or Team July breakout, it’s all about timing and execution.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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