Auto Tariff Pause Fails to Lift Tesla Stock Price, but Recovery Signs Emerge

Although Tesla’s stock closed lower than expected despite the auto tariff halt, but it is still on a uptrend and buyers are returning today.

Tesla is confined fundamentally and technically right now
Tesla is confined fundamentally and technically right now

Tesla’s Upward Momentum Turns Downward Amid Global Uncertainty

Tesla’s stock had been on a consistent upward trajectory, with its price hitting a peak of $488 in December 2024. Over this period, the stock consistently set new highs, with rising lows showing investor confidence.

However, since that peak, Tesla has experienced a significant drop in value, driven by geopolitical tensions, ongoing societal unrest following the COVID-19 lockdowns, and a general decline in the stock market due to fears of a looming global trade war. These external factors have led to a dramatic decline in Tesla’s stock price, overshadowing its previous bullish run.

Recent Stabilization Shows Hope Amid Ongoing Challenges

Despite the broader market downturn, Tesla shares have found support around the $220 level. This recent support zone suggests that the stock may have found a temporary bottom, with signs of stabilization emerging in the last few weeks.

While this could signal the potential for a recovery, recent news developments have not had the anticipated positive impact on Tesla’s stock price. President Trump’s announcement about halting auto tariffs for a period failed to provide the expected boost.

TSLA Chart Monthly – Technical Indicators Keeping It ConfinedChart TSLA, W1, 2025.04.15 00:48 UTC, MetaQuotes Ltd., MetaTrader 5, Demo

Tesla stock briefly surged above $270 last Tuesday, spurred by an unexpected shift in tariff policy that lifted broader market sentiment. However, this rally proved short-lived, as Tesla shares retreated below $250 the following day. The primary factor contributing to Tesla’s challenges remains the ongoing tariff disputes between the U.S. and China.

The imposition of tariffs by China—up to 84% on U.S. goods—led Tesla to halt orders for its U.S.-made Model S and Model X vehicles on its Chinese website. Although tariff delays may allow Tesla to resume these orders, the stock did not experience a significant lift from this development.

Market Sentiment Improves, but Tesla Stays Stagnant

President Trump’s decision to delay reciprocal tariffs on Chinese electronics as well as auto tariffs helped to boost broader market sentiment. This shift reduced concerns surrounding international trade and contributed to gains across major stock indices. However, Tesla’s stock did not benefit significantly from this broader market optimism. As analysts predict, these trade issues may resurface in the coming months, which could continue to weigh on market sentiment and Tesla’s stock price.

The 50 SMA Held Twice As Support

Chart TSLA, MN1, 2025.04.15 00:58 UTC, MetaQuotes Ltd., MetaTrader 5, Demo

From a technical perspective, Tesla’s stock appears to be in a recovery phase. The monthly chart shows solid support near the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), a level from which the stock has bounced twice in the last two months.

Additionally, the stochastic indicator is nearing overbought territory, signaling that the current retreat in Tesla’s stock price may be coming to an end. These technical signs suggest that a bullish reversal could be on the horizon, offering hope for a recovery in the near future.

Long-Term Optimism from Cathie Wood Despite Short-Term Volatility

Despite short-term volatility, Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, remains bullish on Tesla’s long-term prospects. Wood has reiterated that Tesla’s core attributes—its innovative technology and market leadership—continue to differentiate it from its competitors. She believes that while the company may face short-term setbacks, its fundamentals remain strong, and Tesla is well-positioned to outperform its rivals in the years ahead.

Tesla Stock Outlook: Tesla’s Resilience Amid Tariff Uncertainty

In conclusion, while Tesla’s stock has struggled in the face of ongoing tariff uncertainties and broader market volatility, the technical indicators suggest that a potential rebound could be on the horizon.

The shifting landscape of global trade policies may continue to create short-term volatility, but Tesla’s strong market position and underlying fundamentals offer hope for a longer-term recovery. Despite recent setbacks, Tesla’s future looks promising, with potential for growth once market conditions stabilize.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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