XRP Price Prediction: Ripple Chart Points to Fresh Rally as Legal Clouds Clear

MARKETS TREND

Ripple and the SEC are settling the case for a $50B fine, which confirms the setup as the XRP weekly chart shows a bullish advance toward new record highs soon.

XRP forms a bullish chart pattern, as SEC battle heads toward resolution
XRP forms a bullish chart pattern, as SEC battle heads toward resolution

Ripple Inches Closer to SEC Settlement After Years of Legal Wrangling

Ripple (XRP) appears to be approaching the end of a multi-year regulatory battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). In a pivotal development last week, both Ripple and the SEC jointly filed a motion to dismiss their outstanding appeals—an unmistakable sign that a final settlement may be near.

According to the terms currently on the table, Ripple will pay a significantly reduced fine of $50 million, down from the $125 million originally set aside in escrow last year. The excess funds, along with accrued interest, are now being returned—a symbolic and financial win for the company.

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse welcomed the move, framing it as a validation of Ripple’s longstanding legal position and a positive signal of change under the new SEC and White House leadership. If finalized, the settlement could have far-reaching implications, not just for Ripple, but for how cryptocurrencies are regulated in the U.S. going forward.

A Potential Precedent for the Altcoin Market

Beyond the immediate legal resolution, this case could lay the groundwork for broader regulatory clarity across the crypto industry. Institutional capital, previously hesitant due to the murky status of altcoins like XRP, may begin flowing in more confidently. Additionally, retail enthusiasm—once dampened by regulatory uncertainty—could reignite across the altcoin space if Ripple’s resolution sets a formal precedent.

XRP Price Action: Volatility Follows Surge on the Daily Chart

It has been a rough few months for XRP. The token went through a corrective phase after rising more than 500% in November and reaching a peak of about $3.40 by mid-January. Since then, prices have fallen, setting lower highs and encountering opposition from important moving averages such as the 50-day SMA. After regaining the 200-day SMA, which still offers technical support, XRP recovered from a brief plunge below a crucial support zone at $1.90 last week.

XRP Chart Weekly – The Pin Candlestick Suggests Bullish Reversal

The week started with XRP falling to $1.63 amid broader uncertainty, but regained footing alongside a strong rally in U.S. equities. With major indexes gaining over 10% and tech giants up 20%, crypto followed suit. Bitcoin climbed back above $80,000, helping to lift sentiment across the board—including XRP/USD which gained 30%.

Tariff Relief and Political Spotlight Add Fuel to Ripple’s Rally

Outside the courtroom, global macro and political factors are also helping to shape XRP’s price trajectory. President Donald Trump’s recent decision to pause trade tariffs for three months sent a wave of optimism through risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. XRP surged roughly 30% following the announcement, giving a solid return to buyers who had entered during previous dips.

Earlier in March, Trump further buoyed Ripple’s profile during a speech about the proposed National Crypto Reserve. XRP was mentioned alongside Solana (SOL) and Cardano (ADA), leading to a sharp price increase from $2.00 to $3.00. However, the rally quickly reversed when it was clarified that only Bitcoin would be part of the reserve—highlighting how politically driven narratives can stir, and then swiftly shift, sentiment.

XRP Weekly Outlook: Can Ripple Build on Its Momentum?

Despite some short-term volatility, Ripple’s medium-term outlook appears to be strengthening. With legal uncertainties potentially behind it and macro conditions improving, XRP may be poised to draw renewed interest from institutional players and long-term investors alike.

That said, technical hurdles remain. The $1.90 support level continues to act as a key pivot, while XRP must break decisively above the 50-day and 100-day simple moving averages to confirm a sustained bullish trend. Equity markets are rising, Bitcoin is showing strength, and a favorable regulatory outcome could add the final push XRP needs to reclaim higher ground.

In the coming weeks, XRP’s direction will likely depend on a combination of legal finality, political tone, and broader crypto sentiment. If all three align, Ripple could very well be at the start of a new chapter—this time, without the weight of regulatory uncertainty.

Ripple XRP Live Chart

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Skerdian Meta
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Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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