Is Intel Stock a Buy Before the TSMC Chip Deal Finalizes?

The Intel stock price has shown resilience as other big tech stocks have crashed in 2025, which makes it luring to buy ahead of the TSMC deal.

The Intel share price will likely jump if the deal with TSMC is confirmed.
The Intel share price will likely jump if the deal with TSMC is confirmed.

Intel Outperforms Tech Rivals Amid Volatility

While major tech stocks have tumbled by nearly 30% in 2025, Intel (INTC) has remained relatively stable, showing year-to-date gains of 15% until Thursday evening, with price action fluctuating between $19 and $26 — a 30–40% swing inside a broad trading range. Despite the turbulence, INTC has held its ground better than most big tech companies.

TSMC Partnership Could Be a Game-Changer

Investor excitement has been reignited by reports of a tentative joint venture between Intel and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC). The proposed deal would see TSMC take a 20% stake in a new business unit managing Intel’s U.S. chipmaking plants.

This potential partnership has been driven by encouragement from the Trump administration, and although it’s not yet finalized, market sentiment has responded positively. Intel stock rallied from $20.84 to $23.93, reflecting growing investor confidence.

Tariff Turmoil and Buying Opportunity

When tariffs were announced midweek, markets sold off sharply, with many tech stocks falling 10%. Intel was one of the few gainers, showing strong relative strength. On Friday, INTC dipped slightly following the TSMC news, bringing it closer to the lower end of the range — potentially offering a buying opportunity ahead of any formal deal announcement.

Conclusion: Intel May Be Poised for a Breakout

Intel’s steady performance amid sector-wide weakness and anticipation of a high-impact chip partnership with TSMC puts the stock in a unique position. If market conditions stabilize and the deal moves forward, a breakout above resistance could follow. Keep an eye on price action near $20–21 as an attractive accumulation zone.

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Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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