XRP ETF Approval Nears: 87% Chance of SEC Green Light in 2025

XRP enthusiasts are getting more and more hopeful that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will approve an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) by the end of 2025.

Polymarket currently has the odds at 87%. This growing optimism follows Ripple’s win in its long running lawsuit with the SEC, effectively clearing the way for broader institutional adoption of XRP.

Ripple’s Legal Win Fuels XRP ETF Optimism

Ripple’s win against the SEC has flipped the market’s outlook on the XRP ETF. With the lawsuit withdrawn, experts believe the regulatory hurdles blocking XRP’s institutional adoption have been removed. Nate Geraci, president of ETF advisory firm ETF Store, said on X that the XRP ETF is a done deal, it’s just a matter of time. Geraci thinks BlackRock and Fidelity will be the ones to launch the ETF.

• Ripple’s lawsuit with the SEC was the biggest obstacle for XRP’s institutional growth.

• Ripple’s market cap is $2 billion behind Tether, 4th in the crypto space.

• The US administration’s more crypto friendly stance is playing a big role in the SEC’s policy shift.

Institutional Investors Stand to Benefit from XRP ETF

An XRP ETF would be a game changer for both Ripple and the entire crypto space. Like Bitcoin ETFs, an XRP ETF would allow traditional investors to get exposure to XRP through regulated products, bypassing concerns about token storage and regulatory issues. This would also make XRP more legitimate, making it an option for institutional portfolios and increasing its liquidity and price stability.

Key benefits of XRP ETF:

• Traditional investors can buy XRP through regulated products.

• ETF approval will lower the barrier to entry for institutional investors.

• More liquidity and demand for XRP is likely, more market adoption.

Challenges and Controversies Surrounding Polymarket

While Polymarket has the odds at 87%, the platform has had controversy. Recently a governance attack allegations raised questions about its forecasts. The controversy emerged after a $7 million bet on a potential deal between US President Donald Trump and Ukraine. Despite that Polymarket has a good track record of accuracy, users should be aware of its complexities.

The XRP ETF approval will be a big moment for Ripple and a model for other cryptos to get institutional exposure. As the regulatory landscape evolves the XRP ETF will be a major milestone in the crypto market’s growth.