Ethereum Holds Above $2,000, Technical Indicators Signal Potential Breakout

MARKETS TREND

Ethereum holds steady above $2,000 as major institutional players like Fidelity and BlackRock embrace blockchain tokenization, while technical indicators suggest a potential 65% rally to $3,400 by June. Growing whale accumulation and record futures open interest signal increasing conviction among large investors, despite ETH/USD having lost half its value over the past three months.

Ethereum Holds Above $2,000, Technical Indicators Signal Potential Breakout
Ethereum price analysis

Fidelity’s “OnChain” Treasury Fund Joins Growing Institutional Tokenization Movement on Ethereum

In a significant development for blockchain-based finance, Fidelity Investments has filed with US regulators to register a tokenized version of its US dollar money market fund on Ethereum. The $5.8 trillion asset manager plans to launch “OnChain” to track transactions of the Fidelity Treasury Digital Fund (FYHXX), an $80 million fund primarily consisting of US Treasury bills.

According to the March 21 filing, which shows the OnChain share class is slated to take effect on May 30, dependent on regulatory approval is Although the US Treasury bills themselves won’t be exactly tokenized, the project seeks to give investors more openness and accurate record of share transactions.

Fidelity is among the big asset managers including BlackRock and Franklin Templeton using blockchain technology for conventional financial assets. Although the blockchain recording won’t show the official ownership ledger, the company observed that at least daily reconciliation of blockchain transactions with official records by their transfer agent will help to reflect this.

Ethereum Dominates $4.78 Billion RWA Tokenization Market as BlackRock’s ETH Holdings Cross $1 Billion

For real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, Ethereum keeps proving to be the preferred blockchain. Data from rwa.xyz shows Ethereum hosts over $3.3 billion worth of tokenized RWAs, considerably above its closest rival, Stellar, with $465.6 million.

“There was no question that the blockchain we would start our tokenization on would be Ethereum… that’s the natural default answer,” BlackRock’s head of crypto, Robbie Mitchnick, recently said at the Digital Asset Summit in New York on March 20. Customers obviously prefer Ethereum’s decentralizing, credible, and security features, he said.

BlackRock’s rising Ethereum holdings mirror this institutional optimism. From over $990 million just a week earlier, its BUIDL fund today boasts almost a record $1.145 billion value of Ether. Ethereum continues to be the major allocation even as the fund spreads over other chains including Avalanche, Polygon, Aptos, Arbitrum, and Optimism.

ETH/USD Technical Analysis Hints at Potential 65% Rally to $3,400 by June

ETH/USD

 

Technical indicators point to a possible big comeback ahead despite Ethereum’s native currency ( ETH) losing half its value in the past three months—from $4,101 in December 2024 to about $1,750 in March 2025.

Right now ETH is hovering close to $2,000, a crucial long-term support level. Historically, rebounds from this multi-year support have come before strong rallies including gains of over 2,000% and 360% in previous cycles. With a good bounce from this zone, ETH may move toward $3,400 by June—a 65% rise from present rates.

This possible aim falls along Ether’s lowest threshold of declining channel resistance. Should ETH drop below the current support zone, it may, however, veer toward the 200-2-week exponential moving average at roughly $1,560.

Ethereum Whale Accumulation Signals Growing Institutional Conviction

Data on on-chain chains shows a notable rise in whale accumulation, maybe hinting to a future price surge. Nansen claims that whilst the 10,000–100,000 ETH cohort has expanded by an astounding 28.73%, addresses holding 1,000–10,000 ETH have dropped their holdings by 5.65% since March 12.

“ETH whales in the 10k to 100k have actually been accumulating ETH, whereas everyone else has been dumping,” remarked Nansen research analyst Nicolai Sondergaard. Glassnode data supports this trend, showing that from slightly over 70,000 on March 10 to over 75,000 by March 22 the number of addresses owning at least $100,000 worth of Ether has climbed.

Ethereum Price Prediction: Short-term, Long-term Outlooks

Short-Term Price Action: $2,200 “Macro Range” Critical for Bullish Momentum

Analysts believe Ethereum must recover the “macro range” above $2,200 if it is to buck its three-month declining trend. On March 19, well-known crypto analyst Rekt Capital observed: “If price can generate a strong enough reaction here, then ETH will be able to reclaim the $2,196-$3,900 Macro Range.”

ETH encounters opposition at both $2,020 and $2,040 levels right now. By breaking past these obstacles, one could find the road towards $2,120; additional future advancement to $2,150 or possibly $2,250 would follow. On the down side, support ranges from $1,980, $1,950, to $1,880.

Encouraging for bulls, Ethereum’s futures open interest has jumped to a new all-time high on March 21, implying that big traders might be setting themselves for a climb above $2,400.

Long-Term Outlook Remains Positive Despite Short-Term Volatility

Although market players believe that global trade war worries will continue to put pressure on cryptocurrencies until at least early April, Ethereum seems to have a longer-term bright future. From present levels, investment company VanEck projects a $6,000 cycle top for Ether’s price during 2025—a significant rise.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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