Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Faces Bearish Signals: Death Cross, Key Support Levels, and Potential for Rebound

Microsoft (MSFT) has shown a strong uptrend since summer 2022, but entered a correction phase eight months ago, signaling potential further downside. The key question now is whether Microsoft will find the momentum to stage a bullish rebound in the near future.

Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Faces Major Setbacks

Microsoft (MSFT) stock has retraced from $468 to $389 over the past few months and is approaching significant Fibonacci support at $371, where a potential bullish bounce could occur. The golden crossover of the EMAs continues to support the long-term bullish trend. However, bearish signals are evident, with the MACD lines crossing bearishly and the histogram ticking lower for several months. Meanwhile, the RSI remains neutral, offering no clear directional bias.

If MSFT fails to hold above the 0.382 Fibonacci support, the next key horizontal support lies at $350.

Microsoft
Microsoft

Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Trending Lower in a Parallel Downward Channel

On the weekly chart, Microsoft (MSFT) is trending lower within a defined parallel downward channel. Should the stock break below key support levels, it could retrace further to the golden ratio support at $310. Despite this, as long as MSFT holds above $310, the overall long-term bullish trend remains intact, reinforced by the mid-term confirmation of the golden EMA crossover.

That said, bearish momentum is building, with the MACD lines bearishly crossed and the histogram continuing to trend downward. Meanwhile, the RSI remains neutral, offering no clear directional bias at this stage.

Microsoft
Microsoft

Bearish Signal: Death Cross Emerges on the Daily Chart

On the daily chart, Microsoft (MSFT) is on the verge of forming a death cross, as the EMAs are about to cross bearishly, confirming a bearish trend in the short- to medium-term. Additionally, the MACD lines remain bearishly crossed, with the histogram predominantly ticking lower. The RSI is neutral, providing no strong directional signal.

However, if Microsoft manages to bounce off the $389 support level, it could encounter significant Fibonacci resistance at $418 and $440. A break above the golden ratio would invalidate the current correction phase and reestablish the uptrend, with the potential to retest or even surpass its all-time high of $468.

Microsoft
Microsoft

Similar Outlook on the 4H Chart for Microsoft Stock

The 4H chart mirrors the broader bearish signals seen on higher timeframes. The MACD lines remain bearishly crossed, the RSI stays neutral, and the EMAs have already formed a death cross, confirming a bearish short-term trend.

As long as Microsoft (MSFT) stock fails to break above the golden ratio resistance at $440, the correction phase remains intact, signaling the potential for further downside.

Microsoft
Microsoft

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Konstantin Kaiser
Financial Writer and Market Analyst
Konstantin Kaiser comes from a data science background and has significant experience in quantitative trading. His interest in technology took a notable turn in 2013 when he discovered Bitcoin and was instantly intrigued by the potential of this disruptive technology.
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