SP500 4% Down, Intel Stock Plunges 20% on TSMC Deal Rumours

These last two days have been pretty horrible for stock markets, as S&P 500 loses around 5% while the Intel stock is down by almost 20%.

S&P 500 is finding support

Flight to Safety Hits the Broader Market

Investor anxiety has triggered a flight to safety, with U.S. two-year bond yields falling 10 basis points to 3.87%, signaling a shift toward lower-risk assets. The S&P 500’s technical structure is weakening, with the January low breaking and wiping out all post-election gains.

The broader market is also under pressure, with the NAS100 falling 1.4% and the

down 1.5%, as major tech stocks struggle to maintain support levels.

Key Support & Resistance Levels for S&P 500Chart US500, D1, 2025.03.04 17:49 UTC, MetaQuotes Ltd., MetaTrader 5, Demo

  • The 200-day SMA (red) at 5,730 points is providing support today, much like it did in August 2024, making it a potential buying zone for traders.
  • The 100-day SMA (green) at6,000 points, which once acted as support, has now turned into resistance, rejecting prices yesterday and reinforcing the bearish momentum.

Intel’s Rally Reverses Amid TSMC’s Massive InvestmentChart INTC, D1, 2025.03.04 18:03 UTC, MetaQuotes Ltd., MetaTrader 5, Demo

The Intel stock saw a massive rally of 40% in February after rumours of the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) trying to take over Intel. But, yesterday we heard that they will invest $100 billion in broader U.S. chip production over the next four years, but not news about taking over Intel.

Initially, Intel (INTC) surged 5% at market open yesterday, fueled by optimism that Nvidia and Broadcom were testing its production process. Successful trials could lead to major chip manufacturing contracts, providing a much-needed boost to Intel’s struggling chip division, which posted a big loss in 2024.

However, the rally was short-lived. Intel’s stock quickly reversed on the TSMC news and the upcoming tariffs, erasing pre-market gains and ending the day down 5% as overall market sentiment turned bearish. Today, the former Intel directors sought an Intel fabs separation and fiercely opposed the TSMC acquisition. According to them, it would be wiser to establish a new American foundry. As a result, the decline accelerated with another 5% drop today, bringing Intel’s total losses to 20% in just two days, worsening its technical outlook.

Market Outlook

With Intel in freefall and risk sentiment deteriorating, market conditions remain fragile. If Intel fails to stabilize at key support levels, further downside could follow. Meanwhile, the S&P 500’s decline suggests broader uncertainty, with investors watching bond markets and key technical levels for signs of a potential rebound.

S&P 500 Index Live Chart

 

S&P500

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Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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