NVDA Stock Gains 5% As Nvidia Earnings Beat Again
The big event today was Nvidia’s positive earnings and revenue report after the close, which sent the NVDA stock popping higher.
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Earnings Beat and Stock Performance
Nvidia exceeded market expectations, reporting $38.1 billion in revenue and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.84, both surpassing forecasts. Following the earnings release, Nvidia’s stock initially surged to $134.85 before settling at $133.60. Yesterday, the stock closed at $127.80 and climbed to $131.28 today, while jumping after the close to make a 5% gains in total, reflecting investor optimism.
Despite the positive earnings report, the stock remains in a precarious technical position. It continues to trade below the 100-day moving average (green) at $134.50, indicating resistance, while staying above the 200-day moving average (red) at $117.40, which acted as support.
NVDA Stock Chart – Technical Challenges and Market Caution
Ahead of the earnings announcement, Nvidia’s stock experienced its third consecutive day of declines, reflecting market caution. The stock opened with a negative gap, falling 3% (-$4.02) to close at $127.82. While some losses were regained throughout the day, investor sentiment remains uncertain.
Last week’s attempt at a recovery from $106 was halted at the 20-day simple moving average (SMA), and today’s additional losses pushed the stock below previous lows. This price action suggests that bearish pressure continues to weigh on Nvidia, making it a key stock to watch in the coming days.
Mixed Performance in US Indices
The overall stock market showed mixed performance during the session, reflecting uncertainty across different sectors. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 186 points (-0.43%), closing at 43,434, while the S&P 500 ended the day nearly unchanged, gaining just 0.90 points (0.02%) to close at 5,956. Meanwhile, the NASDAQ Composite saw a modest increase of 48.88 points (0.25%), closing at 19,075.
Nvidia Q4 Earnings and Revenue Report: Strong Growth with Mixed Segment Performance
Financial Highlights
- Adjusted EPS: Reported at $0.89, surpassing estimates of $0.84.
- Revenue: Came in at $39.3 billion, higher than the expected $38.25 billion.
- Adjusted Gross Margin: 73.5%, aligning with market expectations.
Segment Performance
- Data Center Revenue: $35.6 billion, exceeding the forecast of $34.09 billion.
- Gaming Revenue: Reported at $2.5 billion, significantly below the estimate of $3.02 billion.
- Networking Revenue: $3.02 billion, missing projections of $3.51 billion.
- Compute Revenue: Strong at $32.56 billion, surpassing the expected $30.41 billion.
Forward Guidance & Business Developments
- Q1 Revenue Projection: Expected at $43.0 billion with a variance of ±2%.
- Q1 Adjusted Gross Margin: Forecasted between 70.5% to 71.5%, slightly below estimates of 72.1%.
- Blackwell AI Expansion: Nvidia has ramped up large-scale production of Blackwell AI chips, with billions of dollars in sales expected in Q1.
- Dividend Policy: Maintained at $0.01 per share.
Nvidia delivered a strong Q4 performance, beating revenue and earnings expectations, largely fueled by data center and compute revenue growth. However, gaming and networking segments underperformed, raising concerns over diversification. The Blackwell AI ramp-up and solid Q1 revenue outlook suggest continued momentum in AI-driven computing. However, margins are showing slight contraction, indicating potential cost pressures ahead. Investors will be closely watching Nvidia’s ability to sustain high growth amid evolving market dynamics.
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