Bitcoin Surges Past $72,000 Amid Institutional FOMO and Pre-Election Momentum
Arslan Butt•Wednesday, October 30, 2024•2 min read
Bitcoin (BTC) has surged past $72,000, approaching its all-time high of $73,737 as institutional investors flood into the market through spot ETFs. BlackRock’s IBIT fund recorded its highest trading volume in six months, reaching $3.35 billion in a single day, signaling what analysts are calling confirmed “FOMO” (Fear of Missing Out) in the institutional sector.
Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas highlighted the significance of BlackRock’s recent activity, noting that IBIT alone saw inflows of $599.8 million on October 29. The combined spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States recorded total inflows of $827 million for the day, according to CoinGlass data. This surge in institutional interest has contributed to an unbroken 12-day streak of inflows for IBIT, totaling approximately $3.20 billion since October 10.
BTC/USD Technical Analysis and Market Structure
Bitcoin has broken out of a seven-month descending broadening wedge pattern, a technical formation that typically signals strong continuation potential. The successful retest of the upper trendline has provided robust support for the current rally, with analysts noting that such patterns historically result in upward movements 79% of the time.
Market analysts at Bitfinex predict heightened volatility in the coming week, particularly between November 6-8, coinciding with the U.S. election period. Option premiums suggest implied volatility could exceed 100% for strike prices above $100,000, indicating significant market uncertainty and potential for large price swings.
Retail Participation Remains Low
Despite the impressive price action, retail interest remains surprisingly muted. Google Trends data shows search interest for “Bitcoin” at only 23% of its May 2021 peak. Coinbase’s App Store ranking, while improving, sits at 308th position, suggesting that the current rally is primarily driven by institutional rather than retail investors.
Bitcoin Market Outlook
The convergence of multiple bullish factors has led analysts to project a potential year-end target of $80,000 for Bitcoin. This forecast is supported by:
Strong institutional inflows through ETFs
Technical breakout from major resistance levels
Historical Q4 seasonal strength
Pre-election market positioning
Increasing open interest in December call options
However, investors should remain cautious of potential volatility, particularly during the upcoming election period. The market structure suggests that while corrections may occur, the overall trend remains strongly bullish as Bitcoin approaches uncharted territory.
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.
His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.
His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.