US Markets End Neutral as Earnings Season and Fed Rate Uncertainty Weigh on Investors

Major U.S. equity indexes closed largely unchanged on the final trading day of a week marked by earnings announcements and uncertainty about the Federal Reserve’s rate outlook.

The S&P 500 ended the day near its opening level, despite briefly gaining close to 1% during the session.

The banking sector saw significant losses, with New York Community Bancorp falling 8.3% due to a weaker forecast, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. slipping 2.3%, and JPMorgan Chase & Co. down 1.2%.

Of the S&P 500 companies, only 183 finished higher. The gains were led by the “Magnificent 7” stocks. Apple rose 0.36%, Microsoft and Nvidia each gained 0.81%, Amazon climbed 0.78%, Meta Platforms added 0.96%, Alphabet increased 1.5%, and Tesla surged 3.34%.

Tesla kicked off the “Magnificent 7” earnings season with a strong quarterly report that boosted its stock.

Shares of Mohawk Industries (MHK) dropped 13.7%, marking the S&P 500’s largest loss, following disappointing Q3 results.

HCA Healthcare (HCA) also declined 8.8% after its Q3 revenue and earnings per share missed estimates.

U.S. Markets Balance Earnings Season and Fed Rate Speculation

With the busiest week of the Q3 earnings season ahead, Wall Street is preparing for key announcements from five of the “Magnificent 7” stocks, including Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Amazon, and Apple.

Additionally, traders are monitoring the upcoming U.S. presidential election on November 5, as well as economic indicators like next week’s jobs report, for insight into the Federal Reserve’s rate plans.

In other markets, oil futures fell over 4% on Monday as Iranian sources reported limited damage from recent Israeli airstrikes on military installations. Citi reduced its three-month Brent oil forecast by $4, expecting prices to hit $70 per barrel.

Mixed Market Performance: Nasdaq Reaches Record High, Dow Declines

Last week concluded with a mixed market performance. On Friday, the Nasdaq Composite reached a record high of 18,518.61, gaining 0.56%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 259.96 points, or 0.61%, to close at 42,114.40.

Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.73% after the close. In pre-market trading this morning, Nasdaq 100 futures are down 0.73%, trading at $74.69.

Conclusion

In summary, markets remain cautious amid earnings reports, upcoming economic data, and Fed rate uncertainty. Tech gains provide some support, but volatility in oil prices and mixed earnings keep risk appetite restrained.

Investors await clearer signals from corporate results and economic indicators to gauge the market’s next direction.

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Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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