Bitcoin (BTC) has hit a rough patch this week, surrendering gains made after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish comments and the pro-crypto alliance between Donald Trump and RFK Jr.
Bitcoin’s Sharp Price Drop
Bitcoin plunged nearly 6% in a short timeframe on Tuesday, erasing all the progress from the previous week. The price briefly touched $58,200 before a small recovery, but it currently sits at $58,800, down 4.5% in 24 hours. The broader crypto market mirrored this decline, with the CoinDesk 20 Index falling by a similar amount.
Why Did Bitcoin Price Decline?
The downturn coincides with a broader sell-off in the U.S. stock market, led by a 1.3% drop in the tech-heavy Nasdaq. Disappointing earnings expectations from Nvidia, a major chipmaker, might be contributing to the market anxiety.
Some investors might be reassessing their optimism after initially interpreting Powell’s remarks as a sign of imminent interest rate cuts. The upcoming government jobs and inflation reports for August could influence the Fed’s decision on rate cuts in September.
BTC/USD Technical Analysis
Bitcoin’s volatility has been on the rise, leading to more frequent price swings. The annualized volatility recently surged above 65%, significantly higher than previous months. This volatility is particularly impactful on leveraged positions in Bitcoin futures markets.
The Bitcoin futures premium briefly dipped below the neutral level, indicating a decline in bullish sentiment. However, the impact on professional traders seems limited, with forced liquidations being relatively small compared to the Aug. 5 crash. Stablecoin demand in China, a gauge of retail interest, remains neutral, with no signs of renewed enthusiasm.
Bitcoin’s Future Outlook
Bitcoin is currently consolidating around $58,500. A break above $60,500 is needed for a near-term recovery.
Resistance levels at $60,200 and $61,500 could hinder potential upward movement. Conversely, a failure to surpass $60,200 could lead to further price drops towards $57,650 or even $56,500.
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.