Silver prices have continued their descent, trading around $28.04 despite a weakening U.S. dollar, which typically boosts the metal. Silver hit a daily low of $27.74 but found minimal upward traction as market participants await clearer guidance from the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policies.
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This cautious stance is mirrored by the anticipation surrounding the upcoming U.S. economic reports, such as the Advance Q2 GDP and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index.
Impact of Global Economic Data and Federal Reserve Movements
Globally, economic data have been less than stellar, with weak performance indicators from the Eurozone and a slowdown in manufacturing growth adding to the woes.
These factors have traditionally supported silver’s role as a safe-haven asset. Former New York Fed President William Dudley’s comments about a potential imminent rate cut to stave off recession fears have amplified expectations of monetary easing.
Market sentiment is gearing up for a potential 25 basis point reduction in September, with additional cuts possible later in the year. This backdrop may underpin silver prices, providing a floor against further declines.
Technical Indicators and Market Outlook
Currently, silver is trading at $27.96, reflecting a 3.22% drop. The metal’s price is below both the 50-day ($29.56) and 200-day ($29.86) Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), signalling bearish momentum.
The key levels to watch include immediate support at $27.54, with additional supports at $27.04 and $26.67. Should these levels hold, they may catalyze a buying resurgence. Conversely, resistance is seen at $28.57, $28.96, and $29.46, where upward movements could face hurdles.
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The crucial pivot point at $27.95 remains pivotal; a sustained move below this could precipitate a sharper decline while staying above could encourage a bullish outlook among traders.
As global risks loom and the Federal Reserve’s decisions draw near, silver investors remain vigilant, balancing cautious optimism with the realities of an uncertain economic landscape.