S&P 500 Approaches 5,250 on Good Friday, Set for Best Quarter Since 2019
Arslan Butt•Friday, March 29, 2024•2 min read
The S&P 500 is maintaining its upward trend and set to end the week on a bullish note, trading near the 5,250 level. It has shown robust growth in the first quarter of 2024, set to be its best performance since 2019.
It should be noted that the recent data indicates a surge of 10% in the index, signaling a significant upward trend. Similarly, other major indices such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average are up by approximately 5.5%, while the Nasdaq Composite has recorded a gain of roughly 9.3% over the quarter. This bullish momentum shows positive market sentiment and underscores investor optimism.
However, the S&P 500’s impressive surge was fueled by various factors, particularly the anticipation of a smooth shift in the US economy as people are now expecting interest rates to stay steady instead of dropping, it’s creating a feeling of more stability and confidence in the economy’s future.
This change is leading more people to want to invest in stocks, which is driving up demand and causing the S&P 500 to reach new record highs. Investors are feeling good because they think the economy will slow down a bit but not too much, which is boosting confidence in the market and making stocks look even more appealing.
Israel’s Conflict with Gaza and Its Potential Impact on S&P 500
On the geopolitical front, the ongoing conflict between Israel and Gaza is making the market uneasy. This instability could affect the S&P 500 index, which measures the performance of major US companies. As tensions rise and violence persists, investors might get more nervous, causing the market to go up and down.
Moreover, the reports of civilian casualties and humanitarian issues in Gaza make things worse, raising concerns about how the conflict could impact stability in the region and financial markets worldwide. This was seen as a key factor that kept the lid on any additional gains in the S&P 500 index.
S&P500 Technical Outlook
On March 29, the S&P 500 (SPX) edged up slightly to 5253.34, marking a 0.11% gain. The pivot point at $5262.46 is pivotal; surpassing this could tilt the market towards bullishness, whereas failure to breach it may reinforce bearish sentiment.
Immediate resistance lies at $5281.33, with further barriers at $5297.10 and $5316.01. Support levels are at $5231.74, $5212.87, and $5198.29.
The RSI is at 64, hinting at potential overvaluation, while the 50 EMA stands at 5152.02, indicating an underlying uptrend. The market’s direction seems bearish below the pivot point, but breaking above could indicate a shift to bullish momentum.
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.
His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.
His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.