Polygon (MATIC/USD) Slides to Ascending Trendline. Will EIP-1559 Boost Prices?

On January 17, the Polygon network announced the EIP-1559 upgrade, which is also called the London Hardfork. According to the network developers, EIP-1559 seeks to eliminate the first-price auction used to calculate fees. The upgrade introduces a base fee for transactions and a priority fee to allow faster processing. The EIP-1559 upgrade will also pave the way for the real-time burning of MATIC tokens, thereby controlling the deflationary effect.

Of course, the burning mechanism introduced by EIP-1559 was expected to have a bullish effect on Polygonโ€™s token, MATIC. However, MATIC/USD continued its slide, falling from a high of $2.44, to a low of $2.17 on the same day.

Why MATIC/USD Fell Amid EIP-1559 Upgrade

Reports of the long-awaited EIP1-1559 upgrade came as early as January 12, with traders having already factored it into the tokenโ€™s price before the upgrade date. We definitely need to examine the impact of the burning mechanism of MATIC beyond the short term. The burning mechanism will be bullish for MATIC/USD, with the long-term projection being an upside for the token.

Currently, we view the bearish move on MATIC/USD as being connected to the weaknesses in cryptocurrencies as a whole. At the time of writing, leading cryptocurrencies Bitcoin and Ethereum were down by 2.23% and 3.80% respectively in the previous 24 hours, with most tokens flashing red lights. MATIC/USD buyers are also taking a break after the token hit an all-time high above $2.9 on December 27.ย 

Technical Indicators Mixed โ€“ What Next for MATIC/USD

Polygon (MATIC/USD) Slides to Ascending Trendline. Will EIP-1559 Boost Prices?

From the daily chart above, we see that MATIC/USD remains on a clear uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows. However, the token is increasingly under bearish pressure, approaching the key support at $2.04. The 9-day MA (blue), the 4-day MA (red) and the 20-day MA (yellow) are above the price, and offering resistance. At the current trading price of $2.06, MATIC/USD is showing no signs of a rebound, with the current level also at the point of intersection with the upside trend line. If MATIC/USD succeeds in breaking below the trendline and the $2.04 level, additional bearish pressure could take the cryptocurrency lower.

$1.77 โ€“ the New Level for MATIC/USD?

We cannot tell with certainty if MATIC/USD will break below $2.04. However, the current bearish pressure points to the possibility, and taking a watch at the key zone in the next few days will offer clues on where MATIC/USD is heading next. The technical indicators are, nonetheless, against MATIC, except for the fact that the token has yet to breach the key level. If it breaks below $2.04 in the ongoing weakness, then the next level will be $1.77, which is the support zone for the token. A myriad of factors, especially the ongoing cryptocurrency weakness, could play a role in MATICโ€™s move to the next zone down.ย 

As a trader, I would keep an eye on the market sentiment and price action at $2.04, to determine whether to enter a trade on MATIC/USD. If the token successfully maintains the key level at $2.04, I would enter a buy trade, targeting the previous levels of $2.4, and potentially $2.8. If this doesnโ€™t happen, the next level I would monitor would be $1.77. Good luck!

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Eric Nkando
Financial Trader and Technical Analyst
Eric Nkando is a professional forex trader and financial analyst from Nairobi, Kenya. He has 3 years trading experience, with interests in Forex, cryptocurrencies, and commodities. He is a CPA(K) holder and a B.com degree (Finance) graduate. Ericโ€™s market analysis and coverage have featured on leading financial websites including Wikifx and Seeking Alpha
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