USD/CAD:Fibonacci Resistance Standing Tall

A perfect storm has hit the Canadian dollar today, yet the USD/CAD is hanging tough just above 1.3500. The dovish BoC Interest Rate statement and early-session plunge in WTI crude oil didn’t do much for the Loonie. However, mid-session trade has brought bids to WTI and sellers to the USD/CAD.

At press time (2:00 PM EST), it appears that the USD/CAD is stabilizing near the 1.3510 area. This action comes after the BoC held interest rates static at 1.75% and WTI traded under $57.00 for the first time since 8 March. For the moment, rates have topped out just beneath 1.3550 and have returned to the value area near 1.3500.

78% Fibonacci Resistance Stands Tall

Although it took major heat on the BoC Interest Rate Statement, the macro 78% Fibonacci retracement level is standing tall.

USD/CAD, Daily Chart
USD/CAD, Daily Chart

Overview: In a Live Market Update from yesterday, I outlined a short trading plan from a macro 78% Fibonacci resistance level. If you missed it, check it out here. Thus far, the trade has performed well, producing a maximum profit of +22 pips. A move beneath 1.3500 is becoming more likely as WTI has rallied above $59.00.

WTI crude oil has rebounded quickly from the early session sell-off and is showing strength. Going into the Thursday session, there is an extremely good chance that rates will return to the value area between 1.3500 and 1.3450.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Shain Vernier
US Analyst
Shain Vernier has spent over 7 years in the market as a professional futures, options and forex trader. He holds a B.Sc. in Business Finance from the University of Montana. Shain's career includes stretches with several proprietary trading firms in addition to actively managing his own accounts. Before joining FX Leaders, he worked as a market analyst and financial writer.
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