WTI Crude Oil Rallies Above $53.50

Late September and early October have been a tough time for WTI crude oil. Prices have fallen consistently, leading to a brutal 10-day losing streak. However, the tides appear to be shifting. The last two sessions have seen some bids hit November WTI, driving prices back above $53.50. While this is still an overwhelmingly bearish market, the much-anticipated test of $50.00 has been avoided for now.

WTI Crude Oil Futures In The Green

For the second consecutive day, November WTI crude oil has experienced significant bullish pressure. Can the positivity last? 

November WTI Crude Oil (CL), Daily Chart
November WTI Crude Oil (CL), Daily Chart

Here are the key levels to watch for the remainder of the session:

  • Resistance(1): 38% Bear Run, $54.24
  • Support(1): Swing Low, $50.99

Overview: Once again this week, global growth concerns and fall seasonality will dictate price action in WTI. With U.S./China trade negotiations likely fruitless and more supply builds projected, WTI is in a position to extend recent losses. In the event we see any negative news from the U.S./China front, or robust weekly API and EIA stocks figures, $50.00 may come into play sooner rather than later. Until a significant bullish retracement occurs above the 38% Bear Run ($54.24), the daily downtrend will remain valid.

In a Live Market Update from Friday, I broke down a short trading plan for November WTI crude oil futures. At press time (12:15 PM EST), the trade is still there for the taking. With a bit of luck, we will see late-day topside extension, bringing the short into play.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Shain Vernier
US Analyst
Shain Vernier has spent over 7 years in the market as a professional futures, options and forex trader. He holds a B.Sc. in Business Finance from the University of Montana. Shain's career includes stretches with several proprietary trading firms in addition to actively managing his own accounts. Before joining FX Leaders, he worked as a market analyst and financial writer.
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