WTI Crude Oil Dips Below $60 Amid Intensifying U.S.-China Trade War

Oil markets are reeling as escalating trade tensions between the United States and China drive prices to their lowest levels since 2021.

On April 8, 2025, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures settled at $58.95 per barrel, marking a significant decline fueled by fears of a global economic slowdown. ​

Trade War Escalation Impacts Oil Demand

The recent downturn in oil prices is closely tied to the intensifying trade dispute between the world’s two largest economies. President Donald Trump’s administration imposed a 104% tariff on Chinese imports, prompting China to retaliate with an 84% tariff on U.S. goods. These actions have heightened concerns about a potential recession, leading to decreased demand for commodities like crude oil.

Market Reactions and Analyst Insights

In response to the escalating tariffs, global financial markets have experienced significant volatility. The S&P 500 Index saw one of its largest single-day drops since the 2008 financial crisis, reflecting investor anxiety over the potential economic fallout.

Analysts warn that the prolonged trade war could further dampen global growth, with oil demand particularly vulnerable. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies are closely monitoring the situation, considering potential adjustments to production levels to stabilize the market. ​

Technical Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Faces Key Support Levels

From a technical standpoint, WTI crude oil is approaching critical support levels. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $63.75, with immediate resistance at $63.22.

WTI Crude Oil Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
WTI Crude Oil Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

On the downside, key support levels are identified at $61.23 and $58.65. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has recovered to 51, indicating a shift from oversold conditions but still lacking strong upward momentum. ​

Looking Ahead: Monitoring Trade Developments

Investors should remain vigilant, closely monitoring developments in the U.S.-China trade negotiations and their potential impact on global economic growth and oil demand. Any signs of easing tensions or new trade agreements could provide relief to the markets and support a rebound in oil prices.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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