Ripple vs. SEC Nears Conclusion – Could XRP Hit $4.80 Soon?
The prolonged legal battle between Ripple Labs and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) appears to be nearing a resolution, according to Andrew Parish, co-founder of Arch Public.
Parish revealed on March 17, 2025, that two SEC sources indicate the case is approaching its final stages.
Since December 2020, Ripple has been under scrutiny for allegedly raising $1.3 billion through unregistered XRP sales. The lawsuit’s outcome could have a significant impact on the broader cryptocurrency market, setting regulatory precedents for digital assets.
In August 2024, Judge Analisa Torres ruled that Ripple’s institutional XRP sales violated securities laws, leading to a $125 million fine. However, she also determined that programmatic sales to retail investors did not breach regulations. This distinction played a pivotal role in shifting expectations toward a potential settlement or regulatory reclassification of XRP.
How the Case’s Outcome Could Reshape XRP
Parish suggests three key possibilities that could emerge from the lawsuit’s resolution:
XRP Receives Commodity Status – If XRP is classified as a commodity, it would be regulated under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) rather than the SEC, altering its market framework.
Reduced Fine for Ripple – There is speculation that Ripple’s $125 million penalty could be reduced, alleviating financial strain on the company.
Lifting of Institutional Sales Ban – Ripple is reportedly in negotiations to remove restrictions on institutional XRP sales, allowing it to re-enter the market more aggressively.
Legal analysts suggest the SEC’s new leadership is reconsidering the broader implications of this case. A favorable ruling for Ripple could set a precedent for other cryptocurrencies currently under SEC scrutiny.
Legal Experts React as XRP Price Holds Key Levels
Parish’s statements sparked mixed reactions from the legal and crypto communities. Pro-XRP attorney John Deaton expressed skepticism, while another legal expert, Bill Morgan, welcomed the potential commodity classification but noted concerns over the injunction on institutional sales.
Legal analyst Fred Rispoli maintained an optimistic stance, suggesting that Ripple’s legal positioning is improving. The case’s resolution could trigger major price movement, with some analysts predicting XRP could surge toward $4.80 if the outcome favors Ripple.
At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.30, with a market cap of $133.36 billion. Given the growing anticipation surrounding the case, traders are closely monitoring price levels for a potential breakout.
XRP Price Analysis: Is a Breakout Coming?
XRP has been consolidating within a descending triangle, facing resistance at $2.37 while holding support at $2.27. The 50-period EMA at $2.32 is acting as dynamic resistance, restricting upward movement.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: $2.37, followed by $2.47
Key Support: $2.27, with further downside at $2.16
Technical Bias: Neutral, awaiting a breakout
If XRP breaks above $2.37, it could rally toward $2.47 and $2.55. Conversely, failure to hold $2.27 could push prices lower, testing $2.16 and $2.05.
Investors should watch for volume-backed moves to confirm the next trend direction, particularly as regulatory clarity approaches.
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