HBAR Price Struggles at $0.20 Despite SWIFT’s $150T Gamble on Hedera
Hedera (HBAR) finds itself at a critical juncture as the enterprise-focused distributed ledger technology (DLT) platform balances significant institutional adoption potential against concerning technical indicators.
The Hedera network, which utilizes the hashgraph consensus algorithm rather than traditional blockchain technology, is poised for potential integration with global financial infrastructure while simultaneously struggling to maintain price support levels.
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Hedera’s SWIFT Trials Signal Major Financial Adoption Potential
Beginning in 2025, SWIFT—the foundation of worldwide financial messaging handling over $150 trillion annually—has started live trials using Hedera’s technology in what might be a turning point for the company. Declared at HederaCon, these tests will show banks all throughout North America, Europe, and Asia, so proving SWIFT’s confidence in Hedera’s scalability and dependability for actual financial transactions.
Following successful proof-of-concept tests, this evolution validates Hedera’s technology at the highest levels of worldwide investment. Representing 450 of the biggest institutions worldwide, the platform is already the preferred Layer 1 DLT for the International Institute of Finance, therefore reinforcing its relevance in conventional finance.
By means of a successful SWIFT integration, Hedera from a niche distributed ledger technology might become indispensable infrastructure for the worldwide banking system, therefore greatly increasing its use and acceptance.
Hedera’s Strategic Pivot Under New Leadership
Under recently recruited Chief Operating Officer Shyam Nagarajan, Hedera is strategically returning from five years of relative silence. Nagarajan presented a vision at ETH Denver 2024 anchored on three main pillars:
- Artificial Intelligence: Positioning Hedera as the trusted verification layer for AI applications, addressing growing concerns around AI trustworthiness
- DeFi Ecosystem: Providing greater support for retail applications and foundational DeFi infrastructure
- Digital Identity: Developing robust decentralized identity solutions as the cornerstone of Web3 adoption
“We believe Hedera is a perfect candidate for bringing trust to AI and driving new innovation in that area,” Nagarajan stated, highlighting the platform’s unique position at the intersection of enterprise trust and decentralized innovation.
Nagarajan’s background at IBM, where he specialized in blockchain and responsible AI, brings credibility to Hedera’s AI-focused initiatives. Under his leadership, the company appears set to capitalize on what he describes as a more favorable regulatory environment, improving economic conditions, and maturing technology.
What Sets Hedera Apart from Traditional Blockchains
Understanding Hedera’s market position requires recognizing its fundamental differences from traditional blockchain networks:
- Consensus Mechanism: Unlike Bitcoin or Ethereum, Hedera uses a hashgraph algorithm combining “gossip-about-gossip” protocols with virtual voting, achieving throughput of 10,000+ transactions per second compared to Bitcoin’s ~7 TPS or Ethereum’s ~30 TPS.
- Finality and Efficiency: Transactions reach finality in 3-5 seconds versus minutes or hours on traditional blockchains, with significantly lower energy consumption.
- Governance Structure: The Hedera Governing Council, comprising 39 global enterprises, provides structured governance and stability while maintaining decentralized consensus.
- Fork Resistance: Hedera’s technical and legal framework prevents contentious forks, providing businesses with greater certainty.
- Fee Structure: Predictable, low-cost transactions (~$0.0001) enable use cases like micropayments that are impractical on higher-fee networks.
HBAR/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Signals Dominate
Despite promising institutional developments, HBAR’s technical indicators present a concerning picture. The token is down 37% over the past 30 days and has struggled to maintain price levels above $0.20, with several key metrics suggesting continued downward pressure:
- Directional Movement Index (DMI): With an ADX of 13.5 (down from 17.4), the market shows weak trend strength, typically indicative of a consolidating or sideways market. The -DI at 20 remains above the +DI at 18.2, confirming bearish sentiment despite diminishing selling pressure.
- Ichimoku Cloud: HBAR trades below the Kumo cloud with the Tenkan-sen positioned below the Kijun-sen, reinforcing bearish sentiment. The Senkou Span A below Senkou Span B projects continued downward pressure.
- EMA Alignment: Short-term EMAs remain below long-term counterparts, signaling persistent downward momentum.
The critical support level at $0.177 has been tested and has held thus far. However, analysts warn that if this support fails, HBAR could decline further toward $0.125. Conversely, if the market sentiment shifts and HBAR regains positive momentum, it could test resistance at $0.24, with potential for a rally to $0.40 if strong buying interest returns.
Some analysts have identified $0.228 as a key breakout level, suggesting that reclaiming this price point could trigger rapid upward movement potentially opening a path above $0.40.
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