NIKKEI225 Ponders Further Action from BoJ as Tokyo Inflation Continues to Expand

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MARKETS TREND

Today’s data from Japan’s capital showed inflation quickened at fastest pace in 2 years, raising expectations of further hikes.

nikkei225 remains steady after rise in CPI

  • Core Tokyo CPI 2.5%
  • Analysts’ forecasts see inflation reaching 3%
  • BoJ under pressure to apply more hikes

The NIKKEI225 gained 0.22% during the London trading session, bringing the index to recover almost half of the drop sustained on Monday of 3.36%.

The [[USDJPY]] although lower than recent peaks remains stubbornly high. Raising another concern for the BoJ as it seeks to bolster a weak yen and shield from imported inflation.

Tokyo CPI Data Fails to Rattle NIKKEI225

Today’s Tokyo CPI YoY data printed as forecast at 2.5% but showed a small increase from last month at 2.4%.

Core CPI YoY showed a larger increase from 3% to 3.4% this month. The increase in inflation data will have the BoJ pondering further hikes as it attempts to keep inflation at its 2% target.

This month’s data is a third consecutive rise in inflation in Japan’s capital, which acts as a leading indicator for national inflation.

The NIKKEI225 dropped 200 points at one point after the news, or 0.50%, but quickly recovered the lost ground.

NIKKEI225 Live Chart

NIKKEI225

 

Analysts Expect the BoJ to Continue Raising Rates

While the NIKKEI225 is lagging way behind its global peers the market has showed considerable stability.

Signs of rising inflation are creating a greater perception that the central bank will act again soon. Some analysts are predicting inflation will reach 3%.

A weak yen and rising energy and food prices are the main contributors to the rise in prices. The weak yen is a particular concern that analysts see will be addressed by the central bank with rate hikes.

The BoJ target is at 2% and the central bank raise its 2025 forecast for inflation from 1.9% to 2.4%. Its main concerns were imported inflation and rising food costs.

Analysts expect the BoJ to raise at least another 2 times through H1 2025, to bring the main interest rate to 1% from 0.50%.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Gino Bruno D'Alessio
Gino D’Alessio is a professional Forex trader with 20+ years of experience in the financial markets as a broker-dealer. Having worked in New York and London, Gino is regularly featured on Seeking Alpha. He completed the CAIA program in 2015, which also gave great insight into global macro factors. His main focus is FX majors, indices and commodities.
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