South Korea Faces Economic Turmoil: KRW Falls, USDT Premium Hits 1998 IMF Crisis Levels

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KRW hits 15 year low as South Korean whales accumulate USDT. Economic slowdown and outflows cause 1998 like market crash fears.

South Korea’s economy is under pressure, KRW is at 15 year low 1,448.9 per USD. On Upbit, the main exchange, USDT is trading 3% premium to the official rate, valuing the stablecoin at 1,559 KRW. This is causing 1998 like market crash fears.

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju said this is like the events before the Asian Financial Crisis, KRW whales are accumulating USDT aggressively. This is a capital flight as wealthy Koreans are moving funds out of the country.

South Korea’s Economic Growth Faces Grim Forecast

BOK just released a warning: South Korea’s 2% growth now may drop to below 1% by 2040s. Sluggish innovation, resource misallocation and no reform to address structural issues are the main causes.

On top of that, political instability and global pressure is adding to the economic uncertainty. After the US Fed cut 25bps and Chair Powell was hawkish, KRW depreciated further. This is weighing heavily on South Korea’s market, KOSPI is down 2%.

To counter the downturn, South Korea’s finance minister announced big interventions: expanding foreign exchange swap lines and more flexibility in forex management. But so far, it’s not working to calm down the investors or stop the outflows.

Urgent Reforms Needed to Avoid Financial Collapse

South Korea’s financial system is under stress, reform is needed. BOK is advising the government to focus on innovation ecosystem, regional development and work-life balance policies to boost productivity.

But outflows are still accelerating and policymakers are trying to stabilize the market. If no action is taken, South Korea will have 1998 like crisis and investor confidence and long term stability will be at risk.


Key Points in Brief:

  • KRW hits a 15-year low, trading at 1,448.9 per USD.

  • USDT commands a 3% premium, reflecting investor concern.

  • South Korea’s growth may dip below 1% by the 2040s.

  • Capital outflows increase as wealthy individuals move funds abroad.

  • Bold reforms are critical to avoid a market collapse akin to 1998.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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