Bitcoin Drops to $63,614 Amid Global Political Tensions and Increased Government Holdings
Arslan Butt•Monday, April 15, 2024•2 min read
Bitcoin is trading at 63,614 decreasing by 5.34% on Sunday. The U.S., the U.K., and Germany are the countries with the largest government cryptocurrency holdings, with the U.S. holding more than 212,847 BTC, claims Arkham Intelligence. El Salvador is a noteworthy buyer of Bitcoin, having bought 5,719 BTC today, which is in line with President Nayib Bukele’s goal of amassing as much Bitcoin as possible before fiat money becomes prohibitive.
The U.S. has been actively involved in cryptocurrency, but the U.K. and Germany have not increased their holdings. El Salvador has been a proponent of Bitcoin since it became legal tender, as evidenced by its continuous purchases. China’s substantial holdings, which are not yet apparent, could, nevertheless, affect the overall image.
The disclosure of government cryptocurrency holdings may indicate a rise in institutional adoption, which might drive up the price of bitcoin because of its perceived legitimacy and the demand from governments across the globe.
Middle East Tensions Trigger Cryptocurrency Market Decline
As worries of a wider Middle East confrontation increased following Iran’s drone attack on Israel, cryptocurrency values fell on Saturday. Ether lost more than 7%, XRP sank 13.5%, while Bitcoin fell 5%. This indicated that risky investments were under more pressure. With futures trading on Sunday, Wall Street’s reaction will become more apparent.
Oil prices had already risen beyond $87 per barrel due to earlier fears of an impending attack, which also caused rises in US Treasury bonds and the currency. Gold reversed course after reaching a record high above $2,400. Concerns about inflation and bank profitability caused stocks, especially tech shares, to drop.
Increased geopolitical tensions since October make a clash between the United States and Iran more likely. The White House promised Israel its backing. Investors may seek out safe-haven assets like Bitcoin as a result of the uncertainty, which could increase its price in the process.
Andy Vermaut shares:Markets flash early signs of risk from wider Mideast war as crypto prices sink after Iran launches wave of drones at Israel: A fuller picture of Wall Street's reaction to Iran's assault on Israel will come on Sunday… https://t.co/HPSs2WDoEr Thank you. pic.twitter.com/SDotyr3nia
CEO of Grayscale Sees Equilibrium in GBTC and Expects Easier Outflows
Michael Sonnenshein, CEO of Grayscale, believes that the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) will level off, indicating that the period of aggressive investor selling is coming to an end. He ascribes previous outflows to things like investor conversions to other options and selling connected to bankruptcy. Sonnenshein anticipates greater investor involvement and product innovation with GBTC’s conversion to a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) and wants to lower fees. Higher institutional interest and easier accessibility to the market may result from GBTC’s declining costs and Grayscale’s request for SEC clearance to launch a new Bitcoin Mini Trust and an ETF for spot ether. Given the expansion of institutional investment routes and the resulting increase in market confidence and liquidity, this news points to a positive shift in attitude and possible price acceleration for bitcoin.
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Technical Outlook
Bitcoin’s pivot point is set at $65,341, which is key to determining Bitcoin’s short-term direction. Immediate resistance levels are found at $67,902, $70,058, and $73,775. If Bitcoin can break past these, it might see further bullish momentum.
Support levels to watch include $63,252, followed by $60,826 and $57,322. A drop below these could intensify selling pressures. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 45, and the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $64,856, both suggesting a potential pivot or reversal point around the current pivot. The market outlook is bullish above $65,341; however, falling below this could lead to a sharp sell-off.
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.
His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.
His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.